**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8 centers on 27–28°C as the most probable minimum, reflecting model consensus amid persistent summer heat and high humidity.** Ongoing heat-wave conditions across the region, with daytime highs near 34–36°C and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to elevated dew points and light winds, keep overnight lows elevated. Incheon’s coastal location adds marine moderation that typically prevents sharper drops, while clear skies expected overnight support gradual cooling without precipitation interference. Historical August climatology for the area shows average lows around 23–25°C, but the current pattern—driven by a strong subtropical high—has produced tropical-night conditions with minima near 26–28°C in recent days. Ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show tight clustering in this range, with only modest sensitivity to small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official Incheon International Airport observation, where even minor forecast adjustments in the final model runs could shift the exact minimum between the tightly contested 27°C and 28°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
28℃ 43%
27°C 35%
26°C 16%
29°C 5%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23℃
2%
24℃
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28℃
43%
29°C
5%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
1%
28℃ 43%
27°C 35%
26°C 16%
29°C 5%
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23℃
2%
24℃
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28℃
43%
29°C
5%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 8 centers on 27–28°C as the most probable minimum, reflecting model consensus amid persistent summer heat and high humidity.** Ongoing heat-wave conditions across the region, with daytime highs near 34–36°C and limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to elevated dew points and light winds, keep overnight lows elevated. Incheon’s coastal location adds marine moderation that typically prevents sharper drops, while clear skies expected overnight support gradual cooling without precipitation interference. Historical August climatology for the area shows average lows around 23–25°C, but the current pattern—driven by a strong subtropical high—has produced tropical-night conditions with minima near 26–28°C in recent days. Ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show tight clustering in this range, with only modest sensitivity to small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Resolution hinges on the official Incheon International Airport observation, where even minor forecast adjustments in the final model runs could shift the exact minimum between the tightly contested 27°C and 28°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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