Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 72°F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific moderate coastal temperatures, limiting inland heat-wave effects to the interior Bay Area while typical August climatology centers highs around 70°F. Minor model spreads allow for 74-75°F upside or 70-71°F downside, reflected in those buckets' probabilities, with lower odds on extremes due to stable atmospheric conditions and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
8月5日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
72～73°F 51%
74～75°F 21%
70〜71°F 18%
68〜69°F 5%
新規
$23,695 Vol.
新規
$23,695 Vol.
2026/08/05
65°F以下
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68〜69°F
5%
70〜71°F
18%
72～73°F
51%
74～75°F
21%
76〜77°F
5%
78～79°F
1%
80～81°F
<1%
82～83°F
<1%
84°F以上
<1%
72～73°F 51%
74～75°F 21%
70〜71°F 18%
68〜69°F 5%
新規
$23,695 Vol.
新規
$23,695 Vol.
2026/08/05
65°F以下
$518 Vol.
<1%
66〜67°F
$508 Vol.
<1%
68〜69°F
$888 Vol.
5%
70〜71°F
$1,881 Vol.
18%
72～73°F
$3,910 Vol.
51%
74～75°F
$2,216 Vol.
21%
76〜77°F
$1,506 Vol.
5%
78～79°F
$3,808 Vol.
1%
80～81°F
$2,575 Vol.
<1%
82～83°F
$2,993 Vol.
<1%
84°F以上
$2,893 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 72°F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific moderate coastal temperatures, limiting inland heat-wave effects to the interior Bay Area while typical August climatology centers highs around 70°F. Minor model spreads allow for 74-75°F upside or 70-71°F downside, reflected in those buckets' probabilities, with lower odds on extremes due to stable atmospheric conditions and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$23,695終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 72°F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific moderate coastal temperatures, limiting inland heat-wave effects to the interior Bay Area while typical August climatology centers highs around 70°F. Minor model spreads allow for 74-75°F upside or 70-71°F downside, reflected in those buckets' probabilities, with lower odds on extremes due to stable atmospheric conditions and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,695終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 72°F for San Francisco on August 5, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific moderate coastal temperatures, limiting inland heat-wave effects to the interior Bay Area while typical August climatology centers highs around 70°F. Minor model spreads allow for 74-75°F upside or 70-71°F downside, reflected in those buckets' probabilities, with lower odds on extremes due to stable atmospheric conditions and no major forecast shifts in the past 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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