Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
76〜77°F 67%
74~75°F 19%
78~79°F 14%
80〜81°F 1.7%
$26,286 Vol.
$26,286 Vol.
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
1%
72〜73°F
1%
74~75°F
19%
76〜77°F
67%
78~79°F
14%
80〜81°F
2%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
76〜77°F 67%
74~75°F 19%
78~79°F 14%
80〜81°F 1.7%
$26,286 Vol.
$26,286 Vol.
67°F以下
<1%
68〜69°F
<1%
70〜71°F
1%
72〜73°F
1%
74~75°F
19%
76〜77°F
67%
78~79°F
14%
80〜81°F
2%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marine layer persistence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping Los Angeles highs near 76–77°F today, aligning with National Weather Service model consensus for early August coastal moderation. This setup limits daytime heating through persistent low clouds and sea breezes, producing the market’s 63.5% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin and secondary support in the 74–75°F range. Recent observations confirm suppressed peaks below seasonal averages of 84–85°F, with no strong offshore warming signals in latest runs. Traders weigh these verified conditions against potential afternoon clearing that could push readings into the 78–79°F tier at 14% odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問