Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 9 centers on a strong high-pressure ridge sustaining hot, mostly sunny conditions with highs near 100°F, producing the tight market split between 100-101°F (47.5% implied probability) and 98-99°F (38.5%). Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon mixing depth, boundary-layer moisture, and any isolated late-day convection that could shave a degree or two, alongside southwesterly winds around 5-10 mph limiting additional warming. Ensemble consensus places the most likely range in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with seasonal baselines where Dallas August highs average near 99°F, while the low probabilities on 102°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger subsidence or drier air to push peaks higher before any evening cooling begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のダラスの最高気温は?
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 6%
$10,560 Vol.
$10,560 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 48%
98-99°F 39%
102-103°F 12%
96-97°F 6%
$10,560 Vol.
$10,560 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 9 centers on a strong high-pressure ridge sustaining hot, mostly sunny conditions with highs near 100°F, producing the tight market split between 100-101°F (47.5% implied probability) and 98-99°F (38.5%). Key differentiating factors include minor variations in afternoon mixing depth, boundary-layer moisture, and any isolated late-day convection that could shave a degree or two, alongside southwesterly winds around 5-10 mph limiting additional warming. Ensemble consensus places the most likely range in the upper 90s to low 100s, consistent with seasonal baselines where Dallas August highs average near 99°F, while the low probabilities on 102°F+ reflect limited potential for stronger subsidence or drier air to push peaks higher before any evening cooling begins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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