Current weather forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, driven by typical summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, with August nighttime lows averaging near 26°C and recent seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal temperatures amid a stable ENSO-neutral pattern. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects alignment across multiple model runs and real-time observations, though a stronger-than-expected cold surge or localized heavy rainfall could briefly push readings lower, while clearer skies might hold the minimum at or above this level. Upcoming official updates from monitoring stations will refine resolution criteria based on the lowest recorded hourly value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の香港の最低気温は？
8月5日の香港の最低気温は？
27°C 96%
26°C 5%
25℃ <1%
21℃以下 <1%
新規
$33,253 Vol.
新規
$33,253 Vol.
2026/08/05
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
27°C 96%
26°C 5%
25℃ <1%
21℃以下 <1%
新規
$33,253 Vol.
新規
$33,253 Vol.
2026/08/05
21℃以下
$541 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$535 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$924 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,368 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$3,736 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5,923 Vol.
5%
27°C
$6,190 Vol.
96%
28°C
$6,037 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$4,842 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$563 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$596 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current weather forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, driven by typical summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, with August nighttime lows averaging near 26°C and recent seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal temperatures amid a stable ENSO-neutral pattern. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects alignment across multiple model runs and real-time observations, though a stronger-than-expected cold surge or localized heavy rainfall could briefly push readings lower, while clearer skies might hold the minimum at or above this level. Upcoming official updates from monitoring stations will refine resolution criteria based on the lowest recorded hourly value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$33,253終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current weather forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, driven by typical summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, with August nighttime lows averaging near 26°C and recent seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal temperatures amid a stable ENSO-neutral pattern. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects alignment across multiple model runs and real-time observations, though a stronger-than-expected cold surge or localized heavy rainfall could briefly push readings lower, while clearer skies might hold the minimum at or above this level. Upcoming official updates from monitoring stations will refine resolution criteria based on the lowest recorded hourly value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$33,253終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 5, driven by typical summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical climatology supports this baseline, with August nighttime lows averaging near 26°C and recent seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal temperatures amid a stable ENSO-neutral pattern. Trader consensus at 94.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects alignment across multiple model runs and real-time observations, though a stronger-than-expected cold surge or localized heavy rainfall could briefly push readings lower, while clearer skies might hold the minimum at or above this level. Upcoming official updates from monitoring stations will refine resolution criteria based on the lowest recorded hourly value.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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