Current forecast models from Météo France and European ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 20°C for Paris on August 5, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that have limited overnight radiative cooling after recent warm days. This aligns with observed morning temperatures stabilizing around that threshold amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely drop below 16°C without a strong frontal passage. The market-implied 92.5% probability for 20°C reflects trader assessment of these stable patterns and limited model spread. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected thunderstorm activity could introduce cooler air and challenge the outcome before final official readings close the market window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のパリの最低気温は？
8月5日のパリの最低気温は？
20°C 92%
19°C 5%
17°C 2%
18°C 1.2%
$16,877 Vol.
$16,877 Vol.
2026/08/05
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
92%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 92%
19°C 5%
17°C 2%
18°C 1.2%
$16,877 Vol.
$16,877 Vol.
2026/08/05
16°C or below
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
2%
18°C
$851 Vol.
1%
19°C
$3,551 Vol.
5%
20°C
$2,065 Vol.
92%
21°C
$5,310 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo France and European ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 20°C for Paris on August 5, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that have limited overnight radiative cooling after recent warm days. This aligns with observed morning temperatures stabilizing around that threshold amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely drop below 16°C without a strong frontal passage. The market-implied 92.5% probability for 20°C reflects trader assessment of these stable patterns and limited model spread. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected thunderstorm activity could introduce cooler air and challenge the outcome before final official readings close the market window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$16,877終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo France and European ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 20°C for Paris on August 5, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that have limited overnight radiative cooling after recent warm days. This aligns with observed morning temperatures stabilizing around that threshold amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely drop below 16°C without a strong frontal passage. The market-implied 92.5% probability for 20°C reflects trader assessment of these stable patterns and limited model spread. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected thunderstorm activity could introduce cooler air and challenge the outcome before final official readings close the market window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$16,877終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from Météo France and European ensembles indicate a daily minimum near 20°C for Paris on August 5, supported by persistent high-pressure conditions that have limited overnight radiative cooling after recent warm days. This aligns with observed morning temperatures stabilizing around that threshold amid light winds and partial cloud cover, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely drop below 16°C without a strong frontal passage. The market-implied 92.5% probability for 20°C reflects trader assessment of these stable patterns and limited model spread. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected thunderstorm activity could introduce cooler air and challenge the outcome before final official readings close the market window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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