Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のパリの最低気温は？
8月6日のパリの最低気温は？
15℃ 46%
16℃ 27%
14°C 25%
13℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
12℃以下
1%
13℃
5%
14°C
25%
15℃
46%
16℃
27%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
15℃ 46%
16℃ 27%
14°C 25%
13℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
12℃以下
$84 Vol.
1%
13℃
$127 Vol.
5%
14°C
$657 Vol.
25%
15℃
$218 Vol.
46%
16℃
$143 Vol.
27%
17°C
$849 Vol.
1%
18°C
$170 Vol.
1%
19°C
$63 Vol.
1%
20°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
22°C以上
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,581終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,581終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooldown across northern France on August 6, driven by a northerly flow of cooler maritime air replacing prior heat, with minimum temperatures projected near 14–16°C in the pre-dawn hours under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 15°C (45% implied probability), as ensemble runs show limited variability in overnight radiative cooling and dew-point suppression. Historical August minima in Paris average 14–15°C, providing context, while any shift in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could nudge the low slightly higher or lower before resolution. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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