Recent model consensus from European agencies, including Met Office guidance, centers on a 25°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following a preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%, with 24°C and 26°C close behind due to short-range forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C from variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects. Official KNMI observations, which resolve these markets, incorporate local measurements that can deviate modestly from ensemble means. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context, but current steering patterns and minimal model divergence keep probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月5日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
25℃ 54%
26°C 22%
24℃ 22%
23°C 1.1%
$33,715 Vol.
$33,715 Vol.
2026/08/05
20°C以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
22%
25℃
54%
26°C
22%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 54%
26°C 22%
24℃ 22%
23°C 1.1%
$33,715 Vol.
$33,715 Vol.
2026/08/05
20°C以下
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$2,639 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,065 Vol.
1%
24℃
$4,664 Vol.
22%
25℃
$5,019 Vol.
54%
26°C
$4,598 Vol.
22%
27°C
$1,784 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$964 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$566 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$2,756 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European agencies, including Met Office guidance, centers on a 25°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following a preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%, with 24°C and 26°C close behind due to short-range forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C from variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects. Official KNMI observations, which resolve these markets, incorporate local measurements that can deviate modestly from ensemble means. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context, but current steering patterns and minimal model divergence keep probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$33,715終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European agencies, including Met Office guidance, centers on a 25°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following a preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%, with 24°C and 26°C close behind due to short-range forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C from variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects. Official KNMI observations, which resolve these markets, incorporate local measurements that can deviate modestly from ensemble means. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context, but current steering patterns and minimal model divergence keep probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$33,715終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETRecent model consensus from European agencies, including Met Office guidance, centers on a 25°C maximum in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following a preceding heatwave. This positions 25°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%, with 24°C and 26°C close behind due to short-range forecast uncertainty of 1–2°C from variables such as cloud cover, wind patterns, and urban heat island effects. Official KNMI observations, which resolve these markets, incorporate local measurements that can deviate modestly from ensemble means. Historical August baselines near 22°C provide context, but current steering patterns and minimal model divergence keep probabilities tightly clustered around these values ahead of final verification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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