Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 clustering tightly between 35°C and 36°C because ensemble forecasts show marginal differences in daytime maximums driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and limited cloud cover that favor readings in this narrow band, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the slight elevation. Minor variations in steering flow or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C, while later model updates ahead of the date may refine the consensus and influence positioning between the closely matched leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の香港の最高気温は?
36°C 35%
35°C 34%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
34%
36°C
35%
37°C
18%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 34%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
34%
36°C
35%
37°C
18%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 clustering tightly between 35°C and 36°C because ensemble forecasts show marginal differences in daytime maximums driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and limited cloud cover that favor readings in this narrow band, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the slight elevation. Minor variations in steering flow or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C, while later model updates ahead of the date may refine the consensus and influence positioning between the closely matched leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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