Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and European forecasts points to a modest cooldown for Moscow on August 12, with daytime maxima most likely in the 17–20 °C range amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to westerly flow. This follows warmer conditions around 23–25 °C on August 10–11, driven by transient high pressure giving way to a frontal system that limits solar heating and promotes mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C if persistent. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors values clustered around 18 °C over higher outliers. Updated runs from global models and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月12日のモスクワの最高気温は？
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
35%
18°C
39%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
12°C or below
$1,472 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$788 Vol.
1%
15°C
$531 Vol.
2%
16°C
$454 Vol.
11%
17°C
$349 Vol.
35%
18°C
$129 Vol.
39%
19°C
$204 Vol.
14%
20°C
$247 Vol.
2%
21°C
$49 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$32 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and European forecasts points to a modest cooldown for Moscow on August 12, with daytime maxima most likely in the 17–20 °C range amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to westerly flow. This follows warmer conditions around 23–25 °C on August 10–11, driven by transient high pressure giving way to a frontal system that limits solar heating and promotes mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C if persistent. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors values clustered around 18 °C over higher outliers. Updated runs from global models and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$4,590終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and European forecasts points to a modest cooldown for Moscow on August 12, with daytime maxima most likely in the 17–20 °C range amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to westerly flow. This follows warmer conditions around 23–25 °C on August 10–11, driven by transient high pressure giving way to a frontal system that limits solar heating and promotes mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C if persistent. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors values clustered around 18 °C over higher outliers. Updated runs from global models and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,590終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and European forecasts points to a modest cooldown for Moscow on August 12, with daytime maxima most likely in the 17–20 °C range amid increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and a shift to westerly flow. This follows warmer conditions around 23–25 °C on August 10–11, driven by transient high pressure giving way to a frontal system that limits solar heating and promotes mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but highlight sensitivity to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress peaks by 1–2 °C if persistent. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors values clustered around 18 °C over higher outliers. Updated runs from global models and local observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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