Latest Met Office guidance points to a 20°C overnight minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor radiational cooling after a 32°C daytime peak. Traders nonetheless price 17–18°C as the modal outcomes because ensemble guidance shows spread around dew-point depression and residual cloud, while London’s urban heat-island effect can mute the lowest readings. With probabilities tightly clustered, small revisions in 00Z model runs—particularly boundary-layer moisture or 10-m wind forecasts—will determine whether the minimum settles at 17°C or 18°C before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月12日のロンドンの最低気温は？
18°C 44%
17°C 33%
16°C 13%
19°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
33%
18°C
44%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 44%
17°C 33%
16°C 13%
19°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
12°C or below
$53 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$63 Vol.
1%
14°C
$94 Vol.
1%
15°C
$42 Vol.
3%
16°C
$104 Vol.
13%
17°C
$1,239 Vol.
33%
18°C
$495 Vol.
44%
19°C
$62 Vol.
8%
20°C
$170 Vol.
1%
21°C
$59 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 20°C overnight minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor radiational cooling after a 32°C daytime peak. Traders nonetheless price 17–18°C as the modal outcomes because ensemble guidance shows spread around dew-point depression and residual cloud, while London’s urban heat-island effect can mute the lowest readings. With probabilities tightly clustered, small revisions in 00Z model runs—particularly boundary-layer moisture or 10-m wind forecasts—will determine whether the minimum settles at 17°C or 18°C before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,421終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 20°C overnight minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor radiational cooling after a 32°C daytime peak. Traders nonetheless price 17–18°C as the modal outcomes because ensemble guidance shows spread around dew-point depression and residual cloud, while London’s urban heat-island effect can mute the lowest readings. With probabilities tightly clustered, small revisions in 00Z model runs—particularly boundary-layer moisture or 10-m wind forecasts—will determine whether the minimum settles at 17°C or 18°C before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,421終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance points to a 20°C overnight minimum for London on August 12 under high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor radiational cooling after a 32°C daytime peak. Traders nonetheless price 17–18°C as the modal outcomes because ensemble guidance shows spread around dew-point depression and residual cloud, while London’s urban heat-island effect can mute the lowest readings. With probabilities tightly clustered, small revisions in 00Z model runs—particularly boundary-layer moisture or 10-m wind forecasts—will determine whether the minimum settles at 17°C or 18°C before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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