Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のロンドンの最高気温は?
25℃ 44%
26°C 26%
24℃ 22%
27°C 10%
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
2%
24℃
22%
25℃
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 44%
26°C 26%
24℃ 22%
27°C 10%
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
2%
24℃
22%
25℃
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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