Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office project daytime highs near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 11 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer Mediterranean patterns. Trader consensus favoring 28°C reflects climatological baselines of 27–29°C for the period, combined with localized moderation from Bosphorus sea breezes and urban heat-island effects that often cap peak readings 1–2°C below regional model outputs. Sunny skies and low precipitation chances support modest warming potential, yet afternoon cloud development or stronger onshore winds could suppress maxima toward 27°C. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のイスタンブールの最高気温は?
28°C 47%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
26°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 47%
27°C 26%
29°C 22%
26°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
47%
29°C
22%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office project daytime highs near 28–30°C for Istanbul on August 11 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer Mediterranean patterns. Trader consensus favoring 28°C reflects climatological baselines of 27–29°C for the period, combined with localized moderation from Bosphorus sea breezes and urban heat-island effects that often cap peak readings 1–2°C below regional model outputs. Sunny skies and low precipitation chances support modest warming potential, yet afternoon cloud development or stronger onshore winds could suppress maxima toward 27°C. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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