Traders see near-equal odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 11 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects a 25–32°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with active habagat conditions that historically suppress maxima by 1–2°C below the August average of 31°C. Key differentiating factors include monsoon strength and timing of any breaks in cloud cover, which could allow brief clearing and a push toward 31–32°C, versus sustained rainfall that favors the lower end of the distribution. New model runs and PAGASA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のマニラの最高気温は？
8月11日のマニラの最高気温は？
29°C 23%
30°C 23%
31℃ 15%
28°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
25℃以下
1%
26℃
8%
27℃
9%
28°C
15%
29°C
23%
30°C
23%
31℃
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34℃
2%
35°C以上
<1%
29°C 23%
30°C 23%
31℃ 15%
28°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
25℃以下
$12 Vol.
1%
26℃
$15 Vol.
8%
27℃
$2 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31℃
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$27 Vol.
2%
34℃
$5 Vol.
2%
35°C以上
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-equal odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 11 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects a 25–32°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with active habagat conditions that historically suppress maxima by 1–2°C below the August average of 31°C. Key differentiating factors include monsoon strength and timing of any breaks in cloud cover, which could allow brief clearing and a push toward 31–32°C, versus sustained rainfall that favors the lower end of the distribution. New model runs and PAGASA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$73終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-equal odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 11 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects a 25–32°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with active habagat conditions that historically suppress maxima by 1–2°C below the August average of 31°C. Key differentiating factors include monsoon strength and timing of any breaks in cloud cover, which could allow brief clearing and a push toward 31–32°C, versus sustained rainfall that favors the lower end of the distribution. New model runs and PAGASA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$73終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTraders see near-equal odds for 29°C and 30°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 11 because the southwest monsoon continues to deliver widespread cloud cover and scattered showers across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating. PAGASA’s latest outlook projects a 25–32°C range with 60% rain probability, consistent with active habagat conditions that historically suppress maxima by 1–2°C below the August average of 31°C. Key differentiating factors include monsoon strength and timing of any breaks in cloud cover, which could allow brief clearing and a push toward 31–32°C, versus sustained rainfall that favors the lower end of the distribution. New model runs and PAGASA updates over the next 48 hours will refine these atmospheric variables ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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