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icon for 8月11日の香港の最低気温は?

8月11日の香港の最低気温は?

icon for 8月11日の香港の最低気温は?

8月11日の香港の最低気温は?

29°C 53%

30°C 29%

28°C 21%

27℃ 5%

Polymarket
新規

$12,360 Vol.

29°C 53%

30°C 29%

28°C 21%

27℃ 5%

Polymarket
新規

$12,360 Vol.

24℃以下

$619 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$555 Vol.

<1%

26℃

$837 Vol.

<1%

27℃

$938 Vol.

5%

28°C

$1,203 Vol.

21%

29°C

$2,774 Vol.

53%

30°C

$2,561 Vol.

29%

31℃

$1,005 Vol.

<1%

32℃

$667 Vol.

<1%

33℃

$598 Vol.

<1%

34℃以上

$603 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts for August 11 indicate overnight lows near 28–29 °C under typical summer monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover overnight, positioning 29 °C as the modal outcome with 53.5 % market-implied probability. Above-normal seasonal temperature guidance for August–October reinforces this range, while urban heat-island effects and sea-surface temperatures around 29 °C limit radiative cooling. Model spreads and potential for localized showers introduce modest uncertainty favoring 28 °C or 30 °C at lower probabilities; traders are weighting the latest deterministic runs and historical August minimum distributions heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation at the Hong Kong Observatory reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,360
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus forecasts for August 11 indicate overnight lows near 28–29 °C under typical summer monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and minimal cloud cover overnight, positioning 29 °C as the modal outcome with 53.5 % market-implied probability. Above-normal seasonal temperature guidance for August–October reinforces this range, while urban heat-island effects and sea-surface temperatures around 29 °C limit radiative cooling. Model spreads and potential for localized showers introduce modest uncertainty favoring 28 °C or 30 °C at lower probabilities; traders are weighting the latest deterministic runs and historical August minimum distributions heavily ahead of the daily minimum observation at the Hong Kong Observatory reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,360
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月11日の香港の最低気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「29°C」で53%、次いで「30°C」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「8月11日の香港の最低気温は?」は$12.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「8月11日の香港の最低気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月11日の香港の最低気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「29°C」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「30°C」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月11日の香港の最低気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。