Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show consensus for mostly sunny skies over Munich on August 12 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximums near 29–30°C. Recent days featured a warm spell with highs reaching the low 30s, yet a slight moderation in advection and clear nocturnal cooling have kept the 12th from exceeding that range in most runs. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance daytime heating potential, while limited cloud cover reduces the chance of significant suppression. Traders price 30°C highest at 38.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 25%, reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final model updates on August 11.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月12日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
30℃ 39%
31°C 37%
29℃ 20%
28°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
26℃以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29℃
20%
30℃
39%
31°C
29%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35℃
<1%
36°C以上
<1%
30℃ 39%
31°C 37%
29℃ 20%
28°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
26℃以下
$3 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3 Vol.
2%
28°C
$3 Vol.
7%
29℃
$129 Vol.
20%
30℃
$3 Vol.
39%
31°C
$38 Vol.
29%
32°C
$3 Vol.
5%
33°C
$3 Vol.
4%
34°C
$7 Vol.
2%
35℃
$3 Vol.
<1%
36°C以上
$3 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show consensus for mostly sunny skies over Munich on August 12 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximums near 29–30°C. Recent days featured a warm spell with highs reaching the low 30s, yet a slight moderation in advection and clear nocturnal cooling have kept the 12th from exceeding that range in most runs. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance daytime heating potential, while limited cloud cover reduces the chance of significant suppression. Traders price 30°C highest at 38.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 25%, reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final model updates on August 11.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$196終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show consensus for mostly sunny skies over Munich on August 12 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximums near 29–30°C. Recent days featured a warm spell with highs reaching the low 30s, yet a slight moderation in advection and clear nocturnal cooling have kept the 12th from exceeding that range in most runs. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance daytime heating potential, while limited cloud cover reduces the chance of significant suppression. Traders price 30°C highest at 38.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 25%, reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final model updates on August 11.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$196終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show consensus for mostly sunny skies over Munich on August 12 under a stable high-pressure ridge, supporting daytime maximums near 29–30°C. Recent days featured a warm spell with highs reaching the low 30s, yet a slight moderation in advection and clear nocturnal cooling have kept the 12th from exceeding that range in most runs. Soil moisture deficits from prior weeks enhance daytime heating potential, while limited cloud cover reduces the chance of significant suppression. Traders price 30°C highest at 38.5% implied probability, followed by 31°C at 25%, reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance ahead of final model updates on August 11.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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