Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over southern Finland on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20 °C with limited low-level advection of warmer continental air. Light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to enhance insolation modestly while the Baltic Sea exerts a moderating influence on peak values. Ensemble spread remains tight given the short two-day lead time, but small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster so closely around the 19 °C and 20 °C thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs later today and tomorrow morning will refine these surface temperature forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
8月12日のヘルシンキの最高気温は？
19°C 43%
20℃ 34%
18°C 12%
21℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
14°C以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16℃
6%
17°C
6%
18°C
12%
19°C
43%
20℃
29%
21℃
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24℃以上
<1%
19°C 43%
20℃ 34%
18°C 12%
21℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
14°C以下
$12 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12 Vol.
1%
16℃
$10 Vol.
6%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C
$43 Vol.
12%
19°C
$67 Vol.
43%
20℃
$15 Vol.
29%
21℃
$11 Vol.
10%
22°C
$12 Vol.
5%
23°C
$12 Vol.
1%
24℃以上
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over southern Finland on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20 °C with limited low-level advection of warmer continental air. Light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to enhance insolation modestly while the Baltic Sea exerts a moderating influence on peak values. Ensemble spread remains tight given the short two-day lead time, but small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster so closely around the 19 °C and 20 °C thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs later today and tomorrow morning will refine these surface temperature forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$206終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over southern Finland on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20 °C with limited low-level advection of warmer continental air. Light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to enhance insolation modestly while the Baltic Sea exerts a moderating influence on peak values. Ensemble spread remains tight given the short two-day lead time, but small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster so closely around the 19 °C and 20 °C thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs later today and tomorrow morning will refine these surface temperature forecasts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$206終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over southern Finland on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20 °C with limited low-level advection of warmer continental air. Light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to enhance insolation modestly while the Baltic Sea exerts a moderating influence on peak values. Ensemble spread remains tight given the short two-day lead time, but small differences in frontal timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why trader-implied probabilities cluster so closely around the 19 °C and 20 °C thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs later today and tomorrow morning will refine these surface temperature forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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