Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, humid air mass over Hong Kong have limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 30°C on August 12 according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Current observations show early-morning readings around 30°C with high humidity restricting further drops, while seasonal norms and recent model runs align with this elevated baseline rather than the typical 26–28°C lows. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for a 30°C minimum reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cooling before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の香港の最低気温は?
30℃ 89.1%
29°C 10%
28℃ 3%
27℃ <1%
$55,579 Vol.
$55,579 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
3%
29°C
10%
30℃
89%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
30℃ 89.1%
29°C 10%
28℃ 3%
27℃ <1%
$55,579 Vol.
$55,579 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
1%
28℃
3%
29°C
10%
30℃
89%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, humid air mass over Hong Kong have limited nocturnal radiational cooling, keeping overnight minimum temperatures near 30°C on August 12 according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. Current observations show early-morning readings around 30°C with high humidity restricting further drops, while seasonal norms and recent model runs align with this elevated baseline rather than the typical 26–28°C lows. Trader consensus at 89% implied probability for a 30°C minimum reflects these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of significant cooling before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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