Latest short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo daytime maxima likely reaching 29–30 °C on August 13 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and modest warm advection from the northwest. This setup follows a cooler frontal passage mid-week and departs from the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, pushing market-implied odds toward the upper end of the typical winter range. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary urban station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
29°C 43%
30°C 24%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
43%
30°C
24%
31°C
16%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 43%
30°C 24%
31°C 16%
28°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
43%
30°C
24%
31°C
16%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo daytime maxima likely reaching 29–30 °C on August 13 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and modest warm advection from the northwest. This setup follows a cooler frontal passage mid-week and departs from the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, pushing market-implied odds toward the upper end of the typical winter range. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary urban station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問