Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 11 points to a high temperature in the mid-90s, supported by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and strong solar heating amid typical late-summer humidity. Afternoon sea breezes and a 20–40% chance of scattered thunderstorms introduce the main uncertainty, potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting peak heating below the climatological average near 95°F or allowing brief spikes into the upper 90s if convection remains isolated. These factors concentrate trader-implied probability on the 94–95°F bin while keeping adjacent ranges competitive pending the final observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
94〜95°F 55%
92〜93°F 24%
96~97°F 16%
90〜91°F 5%
83°F以下
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
2%
90〜91°F
5%
92〜93°F
24%
94〜95°F
55%
96~97°F
16%
98〜99°F
3%
100〜101°F
<1%
102°F以上
1%
94〜95°F 55%
92〜93°F 24%
96~97°F 16%
90〜91°F 5%
83°F以下
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
1%
88〜89°F
2%
90〜91°F
5%
92〜93°F
24%
94〜95°F
55%
96~97°F
16%
98〜99°F
3%
100〜101°F
<1%
102°F以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 11 points to a high temperature in the mid-90s, supported by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and strong solar heating amid typical late-summer humidity. Afternoon sea breezes and a 20–40% chance of scattered thunderstorms introduce the main uncertainty, potentially increasing cloud cover and limiting peak heating below the climatological average near 95°F or allowing brief spikes into the upper 90s if convection remains isolated. These factors concentrate trader-implied probability on the 94–95°F bin while keeping adjacent ranges competitive pending the final observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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