Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日の上海の最高気温は？
8月10日の上海の最高気温は？
29°C 41%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
41%
30°C
23%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 41%
30°C 23%
28°C 22%
31°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
23°C or below
$272 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$34 Vol.
1%
26°C
$173 Vol.
1%
27°C
$620 Vol.
4%
28°C
$423 Vol.
22%
29°C
$573 Vol.
41%
30°C
$675 Vol.
23%
31°C
$853 Vol.
8%
32°C
$817 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$244 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$4,893終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,893終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS highlights an approaching weather system with increased cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and scattered thunderstorms expected over Shanghai on August 9–10. These conditions reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, positioning daytime maxima near 28–30 °C as the most probable range and explaining the market’s concentration of implied probability on 29 °C (40.5 %), 28 °C, and 30 °C (each 21.5 %). Earlier August heat influenced by a strong subtropical ridge has moderated after several days above 33 °C, consistent with typical late-summer climatology that features frequent convective activity and humidity near 75–80 %. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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