Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s August 11 high near 69–70°F under typical marine-layer conditions, with westerly onshore flow and sea-surface temperatures around 58–60°F suppressing inland heat. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: stronger afternoon clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the low 70s, while persistent stratus or a stronger marine push would cap them in the upper 60s. Historical climatology for early August at downtown and KSFO stations centers on 69°F, so the near-even market split between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects traders pricing small forecast adjustments expected in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
70〜71°F 35%
68〜69°F 27%
72〜73°F 19%
66〜67°F 16%
65°F以下
5%
66〜67°F
16%
68〜69°F
27%
70〜71°F
35%
72〜73°F
19%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84°F以上
<1%
70〜71°F 35%
68〜69°F 27%
72〜73°F 19%
66〜67°F 16%
65°F以下
5%
66〜67°F
16%
68〜69°F
27%
70〜71°F
35%
72〜73°F
19%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
1%
78〜79°F
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place San Francisco’s August 11 high near 69–70°F under typical marine-layer conditions, with westerly onshore flow and sea-surface temperatures around 58–60°F suppressing inland heat. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread: stronger afternoon clearing or lighter winds could push readings into the low 70s, while persistent stratus or a stronger marine push would cap them in the upper 60s. Historical climatology for early August at downtown and KSFO stations centers on 69°F, so the near-even market split between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects traders pricing small forecast adjustments expected in the final model runs before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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