Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other regional models indicate a daily maximum near 36°C for Guangzhou on August 13, 2026, under cloudy skies with possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions reflect typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns, where daytime heating and high humidity support peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius, while scattered convection and evaporative cooling limit further intensification. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, yet recent model consensus and official guidance cluster on 36–37°C as the most probable range, with lower odds assigned to outliers due to forecast consistency and the moderating influence of cloud cover. Trader sentiment aligns closely with these data, favoring 36°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent values amid inherent short-range uncertainty in convective timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の広州の最高気温は?
36℃ 45%
35℃ 22%
37℃ 20%
34°C 7%
29°C以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
3%
34°C
7%
35℃
22%
36℃
45%
37℃
20%
38℃
4%
39℃以上
1%
36℃ 45%
35℃ 22%
37℃ 20%
34°C 7%
29°C以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
3%
34°C
7%
35℃
22%
36℃
45%
37℃
20%
38℃
4%
39℃以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other regional models indicate a daily maximum near 36°C for Guangzhou on August 13, 2026, under cloudy skies with possible afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions reflect typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns, where daytime heating and high humidity support peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius, while scattered convection and evaporative cooling limit further intensification. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, yet recent model consensus and official guidance cluster on 36–37°C as the most probable range, with lower odds assigned to outliers due to forecast consistency and the moderating influence of cloud cover. Trader sentiment aligns closely with these data, favoring 36°C as the modal outcome while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent values amid inherent short-range uncertainty in convective timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問