Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月14日のロンドンの最低気温は？
22°C 52%
21°C 29%
23℃ 14%
20°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
16℃以下
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
52%
23℃
14%
24°C
2%
25℃
1%
26°C以上
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 29%
23℃ 14%
20°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
16℃以下
$586 Vol.
1%
17°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$200 Vol.
1%
19°C
$98 Vol.
2%
20°C
$404 Vol.
5%
21°C
$745 Vol.
29%
22°C
$2,393 Vol.
52%
23℃
$491 Vol.
14%
24°C
$117 Vol.
2%
25℃
$131 Vol.
1%
26°C以上
$316 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
音量
$5,571終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,571終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETRecent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問