Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to Shanghai's August 13 high near 29–30°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime heating under typical late-summer monsoon patterns. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (43.5%) and 30°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent multi-day trends of overcast skies and precipitation have further anchored expectations in this narrow range, though minor shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の上海の最高気温は?
29°C 40%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
40%
30°C
35%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
3%
29°C 40%
30°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
40%
30°C
35%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to Shanghai's August 13 high near 29–30°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime heating under typical late-summer monsoon patterns. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (43.5%) and 30°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent multi-day trends of overcast skies and precipitation have further anchored expectations in this narrow range, though minor shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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