Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with negligible precipitation risk, positioning this outcome as a market favorite alongside 23°C. These values align with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where overnight radiative cooling under stable high-pressure patterns often produces lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid daytime highs near 33°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with minor downward revisions possible if clearer skies enhance cooling overnight, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or monsoon influences supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points likely to influence trader adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
23℃ 56%
24℃ 20%
22℃ 8%
25℃ 6%
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
1%
20℃
1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
8%
23℃
56%
24℃
27%
25℃
6%
26℃
2%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
1%
23℃ 56%
24℃ 20%
22℃ 8%
25℃ 6%
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
1%
20℃
1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
8%
23℃
56%
24℃
27%
25℃
6%
26℃
2%
27℃
<1%
28℃以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature of 24°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with negligible precipitation risk, positioning this outcome as a market favorite alongside 23°C. These values align with typical late-summer climatology for the region, where overnight radiative cooling under stable high-pressure patterns often produces lows in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius amid daytime highs near 33°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with minor downward revisions possible if clearer skies enhance cooling overnight, while the absence of incoming frontal systems or monsoon influences supports the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points likely to influence trader adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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