Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 14 project a daytime high of 36°C under partly cloudy skies with no typhoon or frontal passage expected, aligning closely with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Persistent summer heat driven by a weakening northeasterly flow and a broad low-pressure area has produced recent daily maxima of 36–36.9°C, sustaining the 35–37°C cluster that holds over 95% of trader consensus. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Taipei basin further support these thresholds, while model guidance shows limited upside risk for 38°C or higher given stable steering patterns. The next CWA update and any revised model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の台北の最高気温は?
36°C 49%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
$12,222 Vol.
$12,222 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
27%
36°C
49%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 49%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
$12,222 Vol.
$12,222 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
27%
36°C
49%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 14 project a daytime high of 36°C under partly cloudy skies with no typhoon or frontal passage expected, aligning closely with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Persistent summer heat driven by a weakening northeasterly flow and a broad low-pressure area has produced recent daily maxima of 36–36.9°C, sustaining the 35–37°C cluster that holds over 95% of trader consensus. High humidity and urban heat-island effects in the Taipei basin further support these thresholds, while model guidance shows limited upside risk for 38°C or higher given stable steering patterns. The next CWA update and any revised model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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