Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project mostly sunny skies over Chengdu on August 13 with daytime highs centered on 37–38°C, driven by a persistent regional heat pattern and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk that favors strong solar heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 46% for 37°C and 27% for 38°C, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus against typical August averages near 30–35°C. Recent China-wide heatwave observations, with official readings already reaching 37°C in Sichuan, reinforce elevated baseline temperatures, while normal forecast uncertainty of roughly ±1–2°C and potential for localized afternoon convection keep lower outcomes like 36°C at 20% viable. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum from China Meteorological Administration data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の成都の最高気温は?
37℃ 46%
38℃ 27%
36℃ 20%
39℃ 4%
32℃以下
<1%
33℃
1%
34℃
2%
35°C
3%
36℃
20%
37℃
46%
38℃
27%
39℃
4%
40°C
3%
41℃
1%
42℃以上
<1%
37℃ 46%
38℃ 27%
36℃ 20%
39℃ 4%
32℃以下
<1%
33℃
1%
34℃
2%
35°C
3%
36℃
20%
37℃
46%
38℃
27%
39℃
4%
40°C
3%
41℃
1%
42℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather project mostly sunny skies over Chengdu on August 13 with daytime highs centered on 37–38°C, driven by a persistent regional heat pattern and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk that favors strong solar heating in the city's subtropical monsoon climate. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes at 46% for 37°C and 27% for 38°C, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus against typical August averages near 30–35°C. Recent China-wide heatwave observations, with official readings already reaching 37°C in Sichuan, reinforce elevated baseline temperatures, while normal forecast uncertainty of roughly ±1–2°C and potential for localized afternoon convection keep lower outcomes like 36°C at 20% viable. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum from China Meteorological Administration data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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