Trader consensus on Istanbul's August 13 maximum temperature splitting narrowly between 27°C and 28°C reflects official forecast guidance and numerical model outputs clustering near these values. Typical August highs average 28°C, but subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, north-easterly wind strength, and sea-breeze onset timing—driven by the Bosphorus and Black Sea thermal contrast—can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with sunny conditions and moderate ventilation suppressing stronger warming, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 30°C or below 26°C this late in the season. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月13日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
28℃ 53%
27°C 35%
29°C 1.4%
30℃ <1%
$25,666 Vol.
$25,666 Vol.
2026/08/13
23°C以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
35%
28℃
53%
29°C
1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28℃ 53%
27°C 35%
29°C 1.4%
30℃ <1%
$25,666 Vol.
$25,666 Vol.
2026/08/13
23°C以下
$447 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$667 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$1,147 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$2,388 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,441 Vol.
35%
28℃
$6,335 Vol.
53%
29°C
$2,559 Vol.
1%
30℃
$2,335 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$805 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
33℃以上
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Istanbul's August 13 maximum temperature splitting narrowly between 27°C and 28°C reflects official forecast guidance and numerical model outputs clustering near these values. Typical August highs average 28°C, but subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, north-easterly wind strength, and sea-breeze onset timing—driven by the Bosphorus and Black Sea thermal contrast—can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with sunny conditions and moderate ventilation suppressing stronger warming, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 30°C or below 26°C this late in the season. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$25,666終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Istanbul's August 13 maximum temperature splitting narrowly between 27°C and 28°C reflects official forecast guidance and numerical model outputs clustering near these values. Typical August highs average 28°C, but subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, north-easterly wind strength, and sea-breeze onset timing—driven by the Bosphorus and Black Sea thermal contrast—can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with sunny conditions and moderate ventilation suppressing stronger warming, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 30°C or below 26°C this late in the season. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$25,666終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Istanbul's August 13 maximum temperature splitting narrowly between 27°C and 28°C reflects official forecast guidance and numerical model outputs clustering near these values. Typical August highs average 28°C, but subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, north-easterly wind strength, and sea-breeze onset timing—driven by the Bosphorus and Black Sea thermal contrast—can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with sunny conditions and moderate ventilation suppressing stronger warming, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 30°C or below 26°C this late in the season. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF runs will refine resolution criteria before market settlement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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