Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul and Incheon highs on August 12 will likely reach 32–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity amplifying the heat index near 35°C. This positioning reflects a dominant high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and weak steering flows, allowing strong solar heating while moderating extreme peaks. The tight 30% probabilities on 32°C and 33°C capture small uncertainties in afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects versus slightly cooler coastal influences at Incheon. New model runs and official updates in the next 24–48 hours will refine maximum-temperature thresholds for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
32°C 31%
33°C 30%
34℃ 23%
35℃ 9%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30℃
6%
31℃
8%
32°C
31%
33°C
30%
34℃
14%
35℃
9%
36℃
4%
37℃以上
1%
32°C 31%
33°C 30%
34℃ 23%
35℃ 9%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30℃
6%
31℃
8%
32°C
31%
33°C
30%
34℃
14%
35℃
9%
36℃
4%
37℃以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul and Incheon highs on August 12 will likely reach 32–33°C under typical late-summer conditions, with high humidity amplifying the heat index near 35°C. This positioning reflects a dominant high-pressure ridge with limited cloud cover and weak steering flows, allowing strong solar heating while moderating extreme peaks. The tight 30% probabilities on 32°C and 33°C capture small uncertainties in afternoon convection timing and urban heat-island effects versus slightly cooler coastal influences at Incheon. New model runs and official updates in the next 24–48 hours will refine maximum-temperature thresholds for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問