Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 13 point to clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a minimum near 19°C, driving the tight 19–20°C market lead at 69% combined implied probability. These conditions enable moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, yet a warm air mass and London’s urban heat island limit further drops. Ensemble model spreads create the narrow 18–20°C range, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed favoring the higher end while drier, calmer nights support the lower. Final resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as Heathrow, with the next model update likely refining the consensus ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月13日のロンドンの最低気温は？
20℃ 38%
19℃ 36%
18°C 16%
21℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19℃
36%
20℃
38%
21℃
6%
22℃
1%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
20℃ 38%
19℃ 36%
18°C 16%
21℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/13
14°C or below
$24 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$64 Vol.
2%
17°C
$574 Vol.
4%
18°C
$311 Vol.
16%
19℃
$385 Vol.
36%
20℃
$1,508 Vol.
38%
21℃
$235 Vol.
6%
22℃
$118 Vol.
1%
23℃
$140 Vol.
<1%
24℃以上
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 13 point to clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a minimum near 19°C, driving the tight 19–20°C market lead at 69% combined implied probability. These conditions enable moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, yet a warm air mass and London’s urban heat island limit further drops. Ensemble model spreads create the narrow 18–20°C range, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed favoring the higher end while drier, calmer nights support the lower. Final resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as Heathrow, with the next model update likely refining the consensus ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$3,431終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 13 point to clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a minimum near 19°C, driving the tight 19–20°C market lead at 69% combined implied probability. These conditions enable moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, yet a warm air mass and London’s urban heat island limit further drops. Ensemble model spreads create the narrow 18–20°C range, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed favoring the higher end while drier, calmer nights support the lower. Final resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as Heathrow, with the next model update likely refining the consensus ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,431終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 13 point to clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and a minimum near 19°C, driving the tight 19–20°C market lead at 69% combined implied probability. These conditions enable moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under high pressure, yet a warm air mass and London’s urban heat island limit further drops. Ensemble model spreads create the narrow 18–20°C range, with any increase in cloud cover or wind speed favoring the higher end while drier, calmer nights support the lower. Final resolution depends on official overnight readings from stations such as Heathrow, with the next model update likely refining the consensus ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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