August's peak summer conditions in Jinan drive the 100% market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or higher. Regional meteorological data and model consensus project afternoon temperatures of 28–35°C, aligning with climatological averages of 30–32°C and ongoing heat across Shandong province. Earlier August high-temperature warnings from provincial observatories, with peaks near 37–39°C in nearby areas, reinforce the established pattern of intense solar heating under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Only a sharp, unforecast cold front or persistent heavy rainfall could realistically drop the maximum below the threshold, an outcome with negligible historical precedent this late in the season.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日の済南の最高気温は?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$36,407 Vol.
$36,407 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$36,407 Vol.
$36,407 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
August's peak summer conditions in Jinan drive the 100% market-implied odds for a daily high of 26°C or higher. Regional meteorological data and model consensus project afternoon temperatures of 28–35°C, aligning with climatological averages of 30–32°C and ongoing heat across Shandong province. Earlier August high-temperature warnings from provincial observatories, with peaks near 37–39°C in nearby areas, reinforce the established pattern of intense solar heating under typical subtropical high-pressure influence. Only a sharp, unforecast cold front or persistent heavy rainfall could realistically drop the maximum below the threshold, an outcome with negligible historical precedent this late in the season.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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