Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to highs of 76–77°F on August 11 under zonal flow aloft and increasing onshore influence, keeping conditions near seasonal normals for the month. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin as the modal outcome, followed by 80–81°F, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer marine air moderation rather than amplified ridging. Broader summer outlooks from NOAA and the Washington State Climate Office favor above-normal temperatures tied to the developing El Niño, yet short-term guidance shows no strong heat signal for this specific date. Updated model runs and any shift in onshore flow strength remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のシアトルの最高気温は？
8月11日のシアトルの最高気温は？
78～79°F 45%
80〜81°F 31%
76〜77°F 18%
82〜83°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
18%
78～79°F
45%
80〜81°F
31%
82〜83°F
7%
84〜85°F
3%
86～87°F
<1%
88～89°F
<1%
90°F以上
<1%
78～79°F 45%
80〜81°F 31%
76〜77°F 18%
82〜83°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
71°F以下
$100 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$144 Vol.
<1%
74〜75°F
$23 Vol.
5%
76〜77°F
$49 Vol.
18%
78～79°F
$87 Vol.
45%
80〜81°F
$43 Vol.
31%
82〜83°F
$59 Vol.
7%
84〜85°F
$25 Vol.
3%
86～87°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
88～89°F
$109 Vol.
<1%
90°F以上
$82 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to highs of 76–77°F on August 11 under zonal flow aloft and increasing onshore influence, keeping conditions near seasonal normals for the month. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin as the modal outcome, followed by 80–81°F, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer marine air moderation rather than amplified ridging. Broader summer outlooks from NOAA and the Washington State Climate Office favor above-normal temperatures tied to the developing El Niño, yet short-term guidance shows no strong heat signal for this specific date. Updated model runs and any shift in onshore flow strength remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$835終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to highs of 76–77°F on August 11 under zonal flow aloft and increasing onshore influence, keeping conditions near seasonal normals for the month. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin as the modal outcome, followed by 80–81°F, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer marine air moderation rather than amplified ridging. Broader summer outlooks from NOAA and the Washington State Climate Office favor above-normal temperatures tied to the developing El Niño, yet short-term guidance shows no strong heat signal for this specific date. Updated model runs and any shift in onshore flow strength remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$835終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle point to highs of 76–77°F on August 11 under zonal flow aloft and increasing onshore influence, keeping conditions near seasonal normals for the month. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 78–79°F bin as the modal outcome, followed by 80–81°F, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer marine air moderation rather than amplified ridging. Broader summer outlooks from NOAA and the Washington State Climate Office favor above-normal temperatures tied to the developing El Niño, yet short-term guidance shows no strong heat signal for this specific date. Updated model runs and any shift in onshore flow strength remain the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities between the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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