Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderate high in downtown Los Angeles on August 13, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that caps daytime warming along the coast. Ensemble runs show limited afternoon clearing and dew points in the mid-60s, keeping maximum temperatures from climbing much above seasonal norms near 78–82 °F. Trader consensus clustering around 74–77 °F reflects this coastal moderation versus hotter inland valleys, with the tight 32 % split between the two leading bins underscoring uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and timing of any seabreeze reinforcement. Historical August climatology for the basin averages near 84 °F, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly that the market has priced accordingly ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
76〜77°F 44%
華氏74〜75度 32%
72〜73°F 10%
78~79°F 10%
69°F以下
2%
70〜71°F
3%
72〜73°F
10%
華氏74〜75度
32%
76〜77°F
44%
78~79°F
10%
80〜81°F
3%
82~83°F
5%
84〜85°F
2%
86〜87°F
1%
88°F以上
1%
76〜77°F 44%
華氏74〜75度 32%
72〜73°F 10%
78~79°F 10%
69°F以下
2%
70〜71°F
3%
72〜73°F
10%
華氏74〜75度
32%
76〜77°F
44%
78~79°F
10%
80〜81°F
3%
82~83°F
5%
84〜85°F
2%
86〜87°F
1%
88°F以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a moderate high in downtown Los Angeles on August 13, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that caps daytime warming along the coast. Ensemble runs show limited afternoon clearing and dew points in the mid-60s, keeping maximum temperatures from climbing much above seasonal norms near 78–82 °F. Trader consensus clustering around 74–77 °F reflects this coastal moderation versus hotter inland valleys, with the tight 32 % split between the two leading bins underscoring uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and timing of any seabreeze reinforcement. Historical August climatology for the basin averages near 84 °F, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly that the market has priced accordingly ahead of tomorrow’s final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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