**Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for sunny skies and a high of 28°C on August 11 in Toronto, positioning this as the clear market leader at 46.5% implied probability.** Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions is expected to drive daytime warming, consistent with ensemble guidance clustering around 27–29°C. Modest spread in model runs arises from variables such as exact timing of any thin cloud cover or localized moisture, which could cap the peak near 27°C or briefly push it to 29°C. This aligns with broader mid-August climatology, where highs typically range 24–26°C, though recent pattern shifts toward sunnier conditions for the 10–16 window have lifted expectations slightly above seasonal norms. Upcoming model updates and any revisions from Environment Canada or NOAA guidance could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月11日のトロントの最高気温は？
28°C 48%
27°C 27%
29°C 22%
26°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
21°C以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
27%
28°C
48%
29°C
22%
30°C
4%
31°C以上
2%
28°C 48%
27°C 27%
29°C 22%
26°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
21°C以下
$8 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$8 Vol.
1%
25°C
$42 Vol.
3%
26°C
$175 Vol.
5%
27°C
$8 Vol.
27%
28°C
$112 Vol.
48%
29°C
$240 Vol.
22%
30°C
$17 Vol.
4%
31°C以上
$13 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for sunny skies and a high of 28°C on August 11 in Toronto, positioning this as the clear market leader at 46.5% implied probability.** Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions is expected to drive daytime warming, consistent with ensemble guidance clustering around 27–29°C. Modest spread in model runs arises from variables such as exact timing of any thin cloud cover or localized moisture, which could cap the peak near 27°C or briefly push it to 29°C. This aligns with broader mid-August climatology, where highs typically range 24–26°C, though recent pattern shifts toward sunnier conditions for the 10–16 window have lifted expectations slightly above seasonal norms. Upcoming model updates and any revisions from Environment Canada or NOAA guidance could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$640終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for sunny skies and a high of 28°C on August 11 in Toronto, positioning this as the clear market leader at 46.5% implied probability.** Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions is expected to drive daytime warming, consistent with ensemble guidance clustering around 27–29°C. Modest spread in model runs arises from variables such as exact timing of any thin cloud cover or localized moisture, which could cap the peak near 27°C or briefly push it to 29°C. This aligns with broader mid-August climatology, where highs typically range 24–26°C, though recent pattern shifts toward sunnier conditions for the 10–16 window have lifted expectations slightly above seasonal norms. Upcoming model updates and any revisions from Environment Canada or NOAA guidance could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$640終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Environment Canada’s official forecast calls for sunny skies and a high of 28°C on August 11 in Toronto, positioning this as the clear market leader at 46.5% implied probability.** Strong solar heating under mostly clear conditions is expected to drive daytime warming, consistent with ensemble guidance clustering around 27–29°C. Modest spread in model runs arises from variables such as exact timing of any thin cloud cover or localized moisture, which could cap the peak near 27°C or briefly push it to 29°C. This aligns with broader mid-August climatology, where highs typically range 24–26°C, though recent pattern shifts toward sunnier conditions for the 10–16 window have lifted expectations slightly above seasonal norms. Upcoming model updates and any revisions from Environment Canada or NOAA guidance could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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