Current forecasts from European models indicate Milan will experience peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow allowing strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between 34°C and 35°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact maximums, influenced by Milan’s urban heat island effect and variable boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations of 35–37°C highs in northern Italy support trader consensus around these thresholds, while probabilities decline sharply above 36°C due to expected slight cooling from weak Atlantic influences. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency guidance in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のミラノの最高気温は？
8月12日のミラノの最高気温は？
35°C 41%
34°C 29%
33°C 12%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
12%
34°C
29%
35°C
41%
36°C
28%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 41%
34°C 29%
33°C 12%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
29°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
29%
35°C
$0 Vol.
41%
36°C
$11 Vol.
28%
37°C
$10 Vol.
4%
38°C
$12 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European models indicate Milan will experience peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow allowing strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between 34°C and 35°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact maximums, influenced by Milan’s urban heat island effect and variable boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations of 35–37°C highs in northern Italy support trader consensus around these thresholds, while probabilities decline sharply above 36°C due to expected slight cooling from weak Atlantic influences. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency guidance in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$81終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European models indicate Milan will experience peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow allowing strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between 34°C and 35°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact maximums, influenced by Milan’s urban heat island effect and variable boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations of 35–37°C highs in northern Italy support trader consensus around these thresholds, while probabilities decline sharply above 36°C due to expected slight cooling from weak Atlantic influences. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency guidance in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$81終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from European models indicate Milan will experience peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 12 amid an ongoing regional heatwave, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow allowing strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between 34°C and 35°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact maximums, influenced by Milan’s urban heat island effect and variable boundary-layer moisture. Recent observations of 35–37°C highs in northern Italy support trader consensus around these thresholds, while probabilities decline sharply above 36°C due to expected slight cooling from weak Atlantic influences. Updated model runs and official Italian meteorological agency guidance in the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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