Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates temperatures during the August rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near historical averages of 23–25°C. Short-term forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN indicate continued typical conditions for August 11, with highs most likely in the mid-20s amid scattered showers that limit extreme warming. This climatological baseline and absence of anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on standard seasonal dynamics rather than outliers. Updated model runs and regional observations in coming hours could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
8月11日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26℃ 19%
23℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
1%
22℃
2%
23℃
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26℃
19%
27℃
3%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26℃ 19%
23℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/11
19℃以下
$170 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$193 Vol.
1%
22℃
$180 Vol.
2%
23℃
$78 Vol.
4%
24°C
$385 Vol.
26%
25°C
$1,235 Vol.
48%
26℃
$159 Vol.
19%
27℃
$202 Vol.
3%
28°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$187 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates temperatures during the August rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near historical averages of 23–25°C. Short-term forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN indicate continued typical conditions for August 11, with highs most likely in the mid-20s amid scattered showers that limit extreme warming. This climatological baseline and absence of anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on standard seasonal dynamics rather than outliers. Updated model runs and regional observations in coming hours could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
音量
$3,132終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates temperatures during the August rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near historical averages of 23–25°C. Short-term forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN indicate continued typical conditions for August 11, with highs most likely in the mid-20s amid scattered showers that limit extreme warming. This climatological baseline and absence of anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on standard seasonal dynamics rather than outliers. Updated model runs and regional observations in coming hours could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,132終了日
2026/08/11マーケット開始日
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETMexico City's high-elevation location at roughly 2,240 meters consistently moderates temperatures during the August rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap daytime maxima near historical averages of 23–25°C. Short-term forecast models from agencies like Mexico's SMN indicate continued typical conditions for August 11, with highs most likely in the mid-20s amid scattered showers that limit extreme warming. This climatological baseline and absence of anomalous heat or clear-sky persistence explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 24–26°C outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on standard seasonal dynamics rather than outliers. Updated model runs and regional observations in coming hours could refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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