Recent forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Tel Aviv under persistent high pressure with clear skies and light winds, supporting daytime maxima around 32–33°C for August 12. This places the market’s leading outcomes of 34°C and 35°C in line with slight upward bias from recent model runs and coastal measurement variability, while 36°C remains possible only with localized warming. August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C, with sea-breeze moderation limiting extremes absent anomalous heat advection. No major synoptic shifts or heatwave alerts have emerged in the past week, keeping probabilities anchored to near-term guidance updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35°C 52%
34℃ 35%
33℃ 11%
36°C 9%
32°C以下
3%
33℃
11%
34℃
35%
35°C
52%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38℃
5%
39°C
2%
40℃
2%
41℃
1%
42℃以上
1%
35°C 52%
34℃ 35%
33℃ 11%
36°C 9%
32°C以下
3%
33℃
11%
34℃
35%
35°C
52%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38℃
5%
39°C
2%
40℃
2%
41℃
1%
42℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles show Tel Aviv under persistent high pressure with clear skies and light winds, supporting daytime maxima around 32–33°C for August 12. This places the market’s leading outcomes of 34°C and 35°C in line with slight upward bias from recent model runs and coastal measurement variability, while 36°C remains possible only with localized warming. August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C, with sea-breeze moderation limiting extremes absent anomalous heat advection. No major synoptic shifts or heatwave alerts have emerged in the past week, keeping probabilities anchored to near-term guidance updates expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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