Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather project Tel Aviv daytime maxima near 33–35°C on August 11 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer. These conditions support modest warming above the 31–32°C seasonal average through strong insolation and limited cloud cover, though sea-breeze moderation and urban heat-island effects introduce variability. Recent model runs show no extreme heat advection or subsidence strengthening, keeping 35°C as the market-implied mode while allowing for 34–36°C outcomes depending on exact timing of peak heating and local observations. Updated IMS guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月11日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
35°C 59%
36°C 24%
34℃ 14%
37℃ 4%
31°C以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
2%
34℃
14%
35°C
59%
36°C
24%
37℃
4%
38℃
1%
39℃
<1%
40°C
<1%
41℃以上
<1%
35°C 59%
36°C 24%
34℃ 14%
37℃ 4%
31°C以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
2%
34℃
14%
35°C
59%
36°C
24%
37℃
4%
38℃
1%
39℃
<1%
40°C
<1%
41℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather project Tel Aviv daytime maxima near 33–35°C on August 11 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer. These conditions support modest warming above the 31–32°C seasonal average through strong insolation and limited cloud cover, though sea-breeze moderation and urban heat-island effects introduce variability. Recent model runs show no extreme heat advection or subsidence strengthening, keeping 35°C as the market-implied mode while allowing for 34–36°C outcomes depending on exact timing of peak heating and local observations. Updated IMS guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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