Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models point to overnight lows near 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover from showers and thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling. These factors suppress nighttime temperature drops compared to drier seasons, aligning with historical August baselines around 26–28°C. Persistent warm advection from nearby tropical systems and above-normal seasonal temperatures further support elevated minima. Updated model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture levels through the 17th, keeping 28°C the market favorite while leaving room for slight cooling if clearer skies develop overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日の香港の最低気温は?
28°C 64%
27℃ 16%
29°C 15%
26℃ 9%
$12,283 Vol.
$12,283 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
2%
26℃
9%
27℃
16%
28°C
64%
29°C
15%
30℃
6%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
28°C 64%
27℃ 16%
29°C 15%
26℃ 9%
$12,283 Vol.
$12,283 Vol.
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
2%
26℃
9%
27℃
16%
28°C
64%
29°C
15%
30℃
6%
31℃
<1%
32°C
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models point to overnight lows near 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-August subtropical conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover from showers and thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling. These factors suppress nighttime temperature drops compared to drier seasons, aligning with historical August baselines around 26–28°C. Persistent warm advection from nearby tropical systems and above-normal seasonal temperatures further support elevated minima. Updated model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture levels through the 17th, keeping 28°C the market favorite while leaving room for slight cooling if clearer skies develop overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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