Forecast models indicate possible thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Chongqing on August 18, moderating peak daytime highs into the mid-30s Celsius range and explaining the near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights typical August humidity above 70% and the influence of the East Asian monsoon, which can trigger convective cooling that limits temperature spikes. Historical climatology shows August maxima often reach 35–37°C, yet recent runs suggest steering patterns may favor brief relief compared with the hotter conditions observed on preceding days. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the risk of clearer skies allowing a rebound toward 36°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の重慶の最高気温は?
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
37°C 16%
31°C or below
9%
32°C
7%
33°C
8%
34°C
30%
35°C
34%
36°C
17%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C
8%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 34%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
37°C 16%
31°C or below
9%
32°C
7%
33°C
8%
34°C
30%
35°C
34%
36°C
17%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C
8%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models indicate possible thunderstorm activity and increased cloud cover over Chongqing on August 18, moderating peak daytime highs into the mid-30s Celsius range and explaining the near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlights typical August humidity above 70% and the influence of the East Asian monsoon, which can trigger convective cooling that limits temperature spikes. Historical climatology shows August maxima often reach 35–37°C, yet recent runs suggest steering patterns may favor brief relief compared with the hotter conditions observed on preceding days. Traders appear to weigh these variables against the risk of clearer skies allowing a rebound toward 36°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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