Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日の広州の最高気温は？
8月18日の広州の最高気温は？
34°C 37%
35℃ 28%
33℃ 24%
36℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
27℃以下
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
1%
30℃
7%
31℃
9%
32℃
13%
33℃
24%
34°C
34%
35℃
22%
36℃
14%
37℃以上
2%
34°C 37%
35℃ 28%
33℃ 24%
36℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
27℃以下
$21 Vol.
1%
28℃
$17 Vol.
1%
29℃
$13 Vol.
1%
30℃
$285 Vol.
7%
31℃
$58 Vol.
9%
32℃
$0 Vol.
13%
33℃
$0 Vol.
24%
34°C
$8 Vol.
34%
35℃
$9 Vol.
22%
36℃
$13 Vol.
14%
37℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$424終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$424終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent short-term forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Trip.com point to a Guangzhou high near 32–34°C on August 18 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity typical of the Pearl River Delta in midsummer. Scattered thunderstorms and showers, already observed on preceding days with highs of 34–35°C, introduce key uncertainty by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that can suppress afternoon peaks. Model consensus highlights variable convective activity and steering patterns as primary differentiators between 33°C and 35°C outcomes, consistent with August climatology where urban heat island effects often push maxima into the low-to-mid 30s°C range. Traders appear to weigh these near-term precipitation risks against stable warm advection, leaving the leading probabilities closely clustered.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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