Current forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that could limit daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and subtle differences in predicted frontal timing or insolation create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–22°C, as these factors typically shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, but the narrow outcome distribution reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud and precipitation evolution rather than strong directional bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月18日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
21°C 37%
20℃ 28%
22°C 17%
19℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
14℃以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17℃
1%
18°C
7%
19℃
9%
20℃
28%
21°C
37%
22°C
17%
23°C
6%
24℃以上
3%
21°C 37%
20℃ 28%
22°C 17%
19℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
14℃以下
$362 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$21 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$17 Vol.
<1%
17℃
$13 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
7%
19℃
$79 Vol.
9%
20℃
$84 Vol.
28%
21°C
$14 Vol.
37%
22°C
$29 Vol.
17%
23°C
$29 Vol.
6%
24℃以上
$93 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that could limit daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and subtle differences in predicted frontal timing or insolation create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–22°C, as these factors typically shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, but the narrow outcome distribution reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud and precipitation evolution rather than strong directional bias.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$756終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that could limit daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and subtle differences in predicted frontal timing or insolation create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–22°C, as these factors typically shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, but the narrow outcome distribution reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud and precipitation evolution rather than strong directional bias.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$756終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 18 under westerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a chance of light showers that could limit daytime heating. Ensemble model spreads and subtle differences in predicted frontal timing or insolation create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 20–22°C, as these factors typically shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 21°C provide context, but the narrow outcome distribution reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in cloud and precipitation evolution rather than strong directional bias.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問