Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate peak temperatures in Karachi on August 18 will most likely reach 31–33°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C. This aligns with Karachi’s August climatology of mean daily maxima near 32°C, driven by high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, frequent cloud cover, and variable monsoon influences that limit extreme heating. Recent PMD updates describe mostly hot and humid conditions with light or no rainfall expected mid-month, reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in drier years. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band around normal conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 34°C that would require unusually clear skies or suppressed moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月18日のカラチの最高気温は？
8月18日のカラチの最高気温は？
32°C 50%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
29°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
28%
34℃
6%
35℃
5%
36℃
5%
37℃以上
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 28%
31°C 18%
29°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
27℃以下
$127 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$13 Vol.
1%
29°C
$57 Vol.
6%
30°C
$13 Vol.
4%
31°C
$25 Vol.
18%
32°C
$189 Vol.
50%
33°C
$28 Vol.
28%
34℃
$63 Vol.
6%
35℃
$15 Vol.
5%
36℃
$15 Vol.
5%
37℃以上
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate peak temperatures in Karachi on August 18 will most likely reach 31–33°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C. This aligns with Karachi’s August climatology of mean daily maxima near 32°C, driven by high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, frequent cloud cover, and variable monsoon influences that limit extreme heating. Recent PMD updates describe mostly hot and humid conditions with light or no rainfall expected mid-month, reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in drier years. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band around normal conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 34°C that would require unusually clear skies or suppressed moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$656終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate peak temperatures in Karachi on August 18 will most likely reach 31–33°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C. This aligns with Karachi’s August climatology of mean daily maxima near 32°C, driven by high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, frequent cloud cover, and variable monsoon influences that limit extreme heating. Recent PMD updates describe mostly hot and humid conditions with light or no rainfall expected mid-month, reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in drier years. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band around normal conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 34°C that would require unusually clear skies or suppressed moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$656終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models indicate peak temperatures in Karachi on August 18 will most likely reach 31–33°C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C. This aligns with Karachi’s August climatology of mean daily maxima near 32°C, driven by high humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, frequent cloud cover, and variable monsoon influences that limit extreme heating. Recent PMD updates describe mostly hot and humid conditions with light or no rainfall expected mid-month, reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while keeping values close to seasonal norms rather than the higher extremes seen in drier years. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow uncertainty band around normal conditions, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 34°C that would require unusually clear skies or suppressed moisture.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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