NYC's daily maximum temperature on August 15 hinges on afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with National Weather Service guidance showing a tight spread between 82–85°F. Urban heat island effects and dew points near 70°F support modest amplification, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing could cap readings near the lower end of the range. Current model consensus and surface observations keep the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins nearly even in trader sentiment, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing rather than a strong directional signal. Updated hourly reports and evening verification will resolve the market once the official high is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月15日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
82-83°F 44%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
新規
$11,399 Vol.
新規
$11,399 Vol.
2026/08/15
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 44%
84-85°F 38%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
新規
$11,399 Vol.
新規
$11,399 Vol.
2026/08/15
75°F or below
$575 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$1,083 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,032 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,411 Vol.
9%
82-83°F
$1,804 Vol.
44%
84-85°F
$1,935 Vol.
38%
86-87°F
$652 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$1,426 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$301 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$548 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NYC's daily maximum temperature on August 15 hinges on afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with National Weather Service guidance showing a tight spread between 82–85°F. Urban heat island effects and dew points near 70°F support modest amplification, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing could cap readings near the lower end of the range. Current model consensus and surface observations keep the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins nearly even in trader sentiment, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing rather than a strong directional signal. Updated hourly reports and evening verification will resolve the market once the official high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$11,399終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NYC's daily maximum temperature on August 15 hinges on afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with National Weather Service guidance showing a tight spread between 82–85°F. Urban heat island effects and dew points near 70°F support modest amplification, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing could cap readings near the lower end of the range. Current model consensus and surface observations keep the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins nearly even in trader sentiment, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing rather than a strong directional signal. Updated hourly reports and evening verification will resolve the market once the official high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$11,399終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNYC's daily maximum temperature on August 15 hinges on afternoon heating rates under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with National Weather Service guidance showing a tight spread between 82–85°F. Urban heat island effects and dew points near 70°F support modest amplification, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing could cap readings near the lower end of the range. Current model consensus and surface observations keep the 82–83°F and 84–85°F bins nearly even in trader sentiment, reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing rather than a strong directional signal. Updated hourly reports and evening verification will resolve the market once the official high is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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