Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 70–73°F on August 14, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities around 72–73°F and 74–75°F. Primary drivers include persistent high dew points and humidity that limit radiative cooling, variable cloud cover from lingering moisture, and light southerly to westerly winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. Model runs differ on the exact timing of any clearing or weak frontal influence, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. These conditions contrast with August climatological normals near 69°F and reflect the current warm, muggy regime without strong cold advection. Updated short-range model guidance and evening observations will refine the final reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
8月14日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
72～73°F 27%
74～75°F 22%
70～71°F 17%
78～79°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
華氏63度以下
1%
64〜65°F
5%
66～67°F
3%
68〜69°F
7%
70～71°F
17%
72～73°F
27%
74～75°F
22%
76-77°F
9%
78～79°F
11%
80～81°F
2%
華氏82度以上
1%
72～73°F 27%
74～75°F 22%
70～71°F 17%
78～79°F 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
華氏63度以下
$12 Vol.
1%
64〜65°F
$12 Vol.
5%
66～67°F
$13 Vol.
3%
68〜69°F
$0 Vol.
7%
70～71°F
$106 Vol.
17%
72～73°F
$4 Vol.
27%
74～75°F
$12 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
9%
78～79°F
$12 Vol.
11%
80～81°F
$12 Vol.
2%
華氏82度以上
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 70–73°F on August 14, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities around 72–73°F and 74–75°F. Primary drivers include persistent high dew points and humidity that limit radiative cooling, variable cloud cover from lingering moisture, and light southerly to westerly winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. Model runs differ on the exact timing of any clearing or weak frontal influence, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. These conditions contrast with August climatological normals near 69°F and reflect the current warm, muggy regime without strong cold advection. Updated short-range model guidance and evening observations will refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
音量
$195終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 70–73°F on August 14, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities around 72–73°F and 74–75°F. Primary drivers include persistent high dew points and humidity that limit radiative cooling, variable cloud cover from lingering moisture, and light southerly to westerly winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. Model runs differ on the exact timing of any clearing or weak frontal influence, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. These conditions contrast with August climatological normals near 69°F and reflect the current warm, muggy regime without strong cold advection. Updated short-range model guidance and evening observations will refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$195終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 70–73°F on August 14, aligning with the market’s tightest probabilities around 72–73°F and 74–75°F. Primary drivers include persistent high dew points and humidity that limit radiative cooling, variable cloud cover from lingering moisture, and light southerly to westerly winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing. Model runs differ on the exact timing of any clearing or weak frontal influence, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°F. These conditions contrast with August climatological normals near 69°F and reflect the current warm, muggy regime without strong cold advection. Updated short-range model guidance and evening observations will refine the final reading before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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