Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to an overnight low in New York City on August 12 in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by high dew points near 70°F and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer maritime influence from the Atlantic, suppress the usual drop toward the climatological average minimum of about 70°F. Trader consensus between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island retention, with limited scope for sharper cooling unless clearer skies or drier air advect overnight. Upcoming evening updates from the Weather Prediction Center will refine the exact minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
8月12日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
74～75°F 36%
72～73°F 34%
70～71°F 12%
76～77°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
華氏63度以下
<1%
64〜65°F
<1%
66～67°F
3%
68～69°F
4%
70～71°F
12%
72～73°F
34%
74～75°F
36%
76～77°F
9%
78～79°F
2%
80～81°F
<1%
華氏82度以上
<1%
74～75°F 36%
72～73°F 34%
70～71°F 12%
76～77°F 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
華氏63度以下
$422 Vol.
<1%
64〜65°F
$22 Vol.
<1%
66～67°F
$74 Vol.
3%
68～69°F
$84 Vol.
4%
70～71°F
$78 Vol.
12%
72～73°F
$495 Vol.
34%
74～75°F
$763 Vol.
36%
76～77°F
$16 Vol.
9%
78～79°F
$654 Vol.
2%
80～81°F
$999 Vol.
<1%
華氏82度以上
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to an overnight low in New York City on August 12 in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by high dew points near 70°F and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer maritime influence from the Atlantic, suppress the usual drop toward the climatological average minimum of about 70°F. Trader consensus between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island retention, with limited scope for sharper cooling unless clearer skies or drier air advect overnight. Upcoming evening updates from the Weather Prediction Center will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$3,877終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to an overnight low in New York City on August 12 in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by high dew points near 70°F and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer maritime influence from the Atlantic, suppress the usual drop toward the climatological average minimum of about 70°F. Trader consensus between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island retention, with limited scope for sharper cooling unless clearer skies or drier air advect overnight. Upcoming evening updates from the Weather Prediction Center will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,877終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETCurrent forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles point to an overnight low in New York City on August 12 in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by high dew points near 70°F and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. These conditions, typical of late-summer maritime influence from the Atlantic, suppress the usual drop toward the climatological average minimum of about 70°F. Trader consensus between the 72–73°F and 74–75°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island retention, with limited scope for sharper cooling unless clearer skies or drier air advect overnight. Upcoming evening updates from the Weather Prediction Center will refine the exact minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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