Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to highs near 101°F in Dallas on August 14 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup supports the market's leading 45.5% implied probability on 100-101°F while keeping 102-103°F as a secondary outcome at 18.5%. Ongoing regional heat, with recent highs of 101-103°F and heat indices above 105°F, reinforces expectations of continued warmth without significant cooling or precipitation. Updated guidance from NOAA offices and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のダラスの最高気温は？
8月14日のダラスの最高気温は？
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 19%
104-105°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 46%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 19%
104-105°F 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/14
95°F or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$103 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$405 Vol.
32%
100-101°F
$547 Vol.
46%
102-103°F
$177 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$193 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$144 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$350 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$333 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to highs near 101°F in Dallas on August 14 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup supports the market's leading 45.5% implied probability on 100-101°F while keeping 102-103°F as a secondary outcome at 18.5%. Ongoing regional heat, with recent highs of 101-103°F and heat indices above 105°F, reinforces expectations of continued warmth without significant cooling or precipitation. Updated guidance from NOAA offices and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
音量
$3,189終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to highs near 101°F in Dallas on August 14 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup supports the market's leading 45.5% implied probability on 100-101°F while keeping 102-103°F as a secondary outcome at 18.5%. Ongoing regional heat, with recent highs of 101-103°F and heat indices above 105°F, reinforces expectations of continued warmth without significant cooling or precipitation. Updated guidance from NOAA offices and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,189終了日
2026/08/14マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to highs near 101°F in Dallas on August 14 under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This setup supports the market's leading 45.5% implied probability on 100-101°F while keeping 102-103°F as a secondary outcome at 18.5%. Ongoing regional heat, with recent highs of 101-103°F and heat indices above 105°F, reinforces expectations of continued warmth without significant cooling or precipitation. Updated guidance from NOAA offices and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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