Forecast consensus from ECMWF, KNMI, and Met Office models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and modest daytime heating consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 21–22°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with cloud cover and minor Atlantic moisture keeping values from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as 21°C leads at 59.5% while adjacent outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local observations at Schiphol station. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月17日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
21°C 60%
20℃ 27%
22°C 11%
19°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20℃
27%
21°C
60%
22°C
11%
23℃
3%
24°C
1%
25℃
1%
26℃以上
<1%
21°C 60%
20℃ 27%
22°C 11%
19°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/17
16°C or below
$527 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$674 Vol.
1%
18°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$553 Vol.
3%
20℃
$1,034 Vol.
27%
21°C
$2,701 Vol.
60%
22°C
$1,390 Vol.
11%
23℃
$855 Vol.
3%
24°C
$535 Vol.
1%
25℃
$413 Vol.
1%
26℃以上
$609 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF, KNMI, and Met Office models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and modest daytime heating consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 21–22°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with cloud cover and minor Atlantic moisture keeping values from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as 21°C leads at 59.5% while adjacent outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local observations at Schiphol station. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
音量
$9,680終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF, KNMI, and Met Office models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and modest daytime heating consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 21–22°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with cloud cover and minor Atlantic moisture keeping values from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as 21°C leads at 59.5% while adjacent outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local observations at Schiphol station. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,680終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETForecast consensus from ECMWF, KNMI, and Met Office models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and modest daytime heating consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 21–22°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with cloud cover and minor Atlantic moisture keeping values from exceeding 22°C or dropping below 20°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this guidance, as 21°C leads at 59.5% while adjacent outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local observations at Schiphol station. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the final reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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