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icon for 7月11日の台北の最高気温は?

7月11日の台北の最高気温は?

icon for 7月11日の台北の最高気温は?

7月11日の台北の最高気温は?

30°C 20.0%

29°C 20%

28°C 18%

31°C 16.5%

Polymarket
新規

$14,482 Vol.

30°C 20.0%

29°C 20%

28°C 18%

31°C 16.5%

Polymarket
新規

$14,482 Vol.

22°C or below

$537 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$285 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$834 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,655 Vol.

2%

26°C

$1,927 Vol.

6%

27°C

$2,369 Vol.

9%

28°C

$2,534 Vol.

18%

29°C

$1,460 Vol.

20%

30°C

$1,272 Vol.

20%

31°C

$622 Vol.

17%

32°C or higher

$987 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Central Weather Administration point to possible showers, overcast skies, or typhoon-related moisture around July 11, which suppress maximum temperatures below typical July peaks of 32–33 °C in Taipei. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28–30 °C outcomes while giving 32 °C or higher only 17.6 percent. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing solar heating, localized rainfall cooling surfaces, and steering winds that could limit warm-air advection, versus clearer skies that would allow stronger daytime warming amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely shift consensus as precipitation timing and intensity become clearer.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,482
終了日
2026/07/11
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the Central Weather Administration point to possible showers, overcast skies, or typhoon-related moisture around July 11, which suppress maximum temperatures below typical July peaks of 32–33 °C in Taipei. These conditions explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 28–30 °C outcomes while giving 32 °C or higher only 17.6 percent. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover reducing solar heating, localized rainfall cooling surfaces, and steering winds that could limit warm-air advection, versus clearer skies that would allow stronger daytime warming amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely shift consensus as precipitation timing and intensity become clearer.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,482
終了日
2026/07/11
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「7月11日の台北の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「29°C」で20%、次いで「30°C」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、20¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に20%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「7月11日の台北の最高気温は?」は$14.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「7月11日の台北の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「7月11日の台北の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「29°C」で20%であり、市場がこの結果に20%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「30°C」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「7月11日の台北の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。